Car theft isn’t great for comparison because of vastly different car ownership rates, different kinds of cars, values etc…
For example, from 2019 to 2022 car thefts skyrocketed while other property crimes declined. Mostly because people figured out that Kia’s during that time were really easy to steal.
> Most other crimes suffer from differences in classification/definition, reporting procedures, or willingness of residents to report them to the police.
From what I can tell they use victim impact surveys and other surveys as well as crime reported to police to ameliorate that.
>homicide rate
Your theory is called the tip of the iceberg theory and it isn’t meritless but it isn’t very reliable either.
Different studies show different correlations between murder and different types of violent crime.
But the correlation in general is only moderate even within a country. Across counties, it’s much lower.
In the US guns are much more common, than in Europe, so so a crime like attempted murder that is highly correlated with murder within the US isn’t going to be highly correlated across the US and Europe.
For example, if it takes 3 attempted murders in a city with easy gun access to produce 1 murder, it might take 10 in a city where guns are hard to get. So you could be underestimating the attempted murder rate in that city by 3x.
For example, from 2019 to 2022 car thefts skyrocketed while other property crimes declined. Mostly because people figured out that Kia’s during that time were really easy to steal.
> Most other crimes suffer from differences in classification/definition, reporting procedures, or willingness of residents to report them to the police.
From what I can tell they use victim impact surveys and other surveys as well as crime reported to police to ameliorate that.
>homicide rate
Your theory is called the tip of the iceberg theory and it isn’t meritless but it isn’t very reliable either.
Different studies show different correlations between murder and different types of violent crime.
But the correlation in general is only moderate even within a country. Across counties, it’s much lower.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s43576-023-00086-1
In the US guns are much more common, than in Europe, so so a crime like attempted murder that is highly correlated with murder within the US isn’t going to be highly correlated across the US and Europe.
For example, if it takes 3 attempted murders in a city with easy gun access to produce 1 murder, it might take 10 in a city where guns are hard to get. So you could be underestimating the attempted murder rate in that city by 3x.